Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.027287 0.029270 0.031337 0.033655 0.036184 0.038865 0.041925
2025-06-15 0.023827 0.026624 0.029686 0.033300 0.037464 0.042127 0.047770
2025-06-22 0.021490 0.024752 0.028458 0.033007 0.038472 0.044866 0.052974
2025-06-29 0.019573 0.023089 0.027204 0.032413 0.038888 0.046742 0.057098
2025-07-06 0.018504 0.022290 0.026838 0.032758 0.040345 0.049854 0.062855
2025-07-13 0.017463 0.021417 0.026274 0.032753 0.041281 0.052287 0.067831
2025-07-20 0.016735 0.020866 0.026046 0.033113 0.042654 0.055310 0.073751
2025-07-27 0.015875 0.020080 0.025448 0.032917 0.043230 0.057250 0.078260
2025-08-03 0.015106 0.019360 0.024879 0.032701 0.043726 0.059066 0.082670
2025-08-10 0.014424 0.018710 0.024357 0.032499 0.044202 0.060843 0.087108
2025-08-17 0.013835 0.018151 0.023921 0.032376 0.044756 0.062735 0.091818
2025-08-24 0.013183 0.017473 0.023281 0.031916 0.044776 0.063809 0.095302
2025-08-31 0.012532 0.016771 0.022580 0.031338 0.044593 0.064577 0.098379
2025-09-07 0.012020 0.016241 0.022096 0.031048 0.044819 0.065976 0.102575
2025-09-14 0.011555 0.015756 0.021652 0.030787 0.045064 0.067399 0.106896
2025-09-21 0.011041 0.015177 0.021044 0.030243 0.044824 0.068015 0.109854
2025-09-28 0.010806 0.014993 0.021004 0.030560 0.045959 0.070925 0.117045
2025-10-05 0.010498 0.014688 0.020768 0.030556 0.046564 0.072980 0.122848
2025-10-12 0.010298 0.014534 0.020749 0.030887 0.047731 0.076046 0.130755
2025-10-19 0.009978 0.014188 0.020423 0.030707 0.048027 0.077613 0.135944
2025-10-26 0.009673 0.013850 0.020096 0.030508 0.048273 0.079097 0.141077
2025-11-02 0.009388 0.013534 0.019788 0.030323 0.048528 0.080603 0.146364
2025-11-09 0.009134 0.013257 0.019531 0.030209 0.048897 0.082328 0.152229